Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 122.641374 141.451946 163.374024 191.109843 225.701220 268.017149 3.246516e+02
2025-03-09 97.405653 120.749327 150.915065 193.870689 255.439804 343.905666 4.877148e+02
2025-03-16 81.777937 105.824846 138.921308 189.765187 269.871010 399.288574 6.448995e+02
2025-03-23 74.718879 100.344968 137.626256 199.007278 304.860970 497.420097 9.305556e+02
2025-03-30 65.820927 90.577298 127.950106 192.480434 311.173916 547.187189 1.156362e+03
2025-04-06 60.444080 85.145352 123.796530 193.764033 331.248305 631.984005 1.541590e+03
2025-04-13 55.690548 79.988517 119.171595 193.040511 346.932124 714.606769 2.017698e+03
2025-04-20 53.281338 78.196382 119.755263 201.834304 385.065313 873.406203 3.019512e+03
2025-04-27 52.197332 78.384304 123.683347 217.862172 445.391084 1137.652273 5.223011e+03
2025-05-04 48.786838 74.251251 119.255354 215.756185 460.609249 1272.951373 7.236405e+03
2025-05-11 46.350916 71.548189 117.106800 218.109699 488.675236 1480.912576 1.116636e+04
2025-05-18 43.422900 67.702619 112.321098 213.653539 496.213130 1615.691544 1.564230e+04
2025-05-25 41.099069 64.958386 109.791112 215.079816 525.913705 1907.620762 2.869112e+04
2025-06-01 39.102039 62.660240 107.943736 218.053293 563.531535 2312.792354 6.597510e+04
2025-06-08 36.627361 59.237396 103.366389 213.241759 572.970709 2577.932484 1.373538e+05
2025-06-15 35.724838 58.690617 104.702262 224.095963 645.978113 3472.256429 1.394932e+06
2025-06-22 33.454335 55.312483 99.577166 216.427305 642.986686 3750.005531 1.163454e+07
2025-06-29 32.078628 53.571477 97.838104 217.934238 680.175586 4566.806511 NaN
2025-07-06 30.659656 51.630880 95.439380 217.084756 707.332696 5416.685906 NaN
2025-07-13 30.079823 51.319356 96.687964 227.422320 795.673443 7726.280603 NaN
2025-07-20 29.998726 52.009567 100.345398 246.334303 947.610917 13244.457196 NaN
2025-07-27 28.722808 50.115519 97.615950 243.844274 976.372914 16240.846887 NaN
2025-08-03 27.815478 48.932569 96.497201 246.627068 1042.224708 22436.795271 NaN